Signal
LIVEWill Iran's 90% uranium enrich...23%▲5Will NVDA beat Q1 FY2027 earni...78%▲4Will the Fed cut rates before ...64%▲6Will US enter recession (2 con...18%▲3Will S&P 500 close above 6,500...55%▲3Will oil hit $100/bbl in 2026?31%▲6Will Strait of Hormuz shipping...15%▲3Will China invade or blockade ...8%Will AAPL revenue grow >5% YoY...62%▲2Will TSLA deliver >500K vehicl...45%▼5Will a quantum computer demons...28%▲6Will AI agent companies (not L...42%▲4Will Stripe IPO in 2026?35%▲5Will there be a >$50B tech M&A...52%▲4Will Bitcoin close above $150,...38%▲3Will Ethereum ETF see >$10B cu...44%▲4Will hyperscalers cut AI capex...38%▲7Will OpenAI book <$20B annuali...54%▲6Will a major private credit fu...44%▲8Will NVDA enter a bear market ...32%▲6Will AI data-center REITs drop...36%▲7Will US nuclear restart approv...71%▲6Will NVDA beat Q2 FY2027 earni...72%▼3Will OpenAI announce a down-ro...47%▲8Will a public neocloud (CRWV, ...28%▲7Will SEC open formal investiga...34%▲12Will QQQ close above 600 by ye...58%▲4Will at least one major confli...47%▲6Will defense stocks (ITA) ente...34%▲8Will Brent crude drop below $6...41%▲8Will Ukraine reconstruction bo...52%▲8Will EEM outperform SPY by >10...44%▲7Will Red Sea container traffic...38%▲7Will GLD drop >12% peak-to-tro...32%▲5Will global airline demand hit...62%▲7Will DXY drop below 98 on peac...39%▲7Will US construction / infrast...51%▲7Will Iran's 90% uranium enrich...23%▲5Will NVDA beat Q1 FY2027 earni...78%▲4Will the Fed cut rates before ...64%▲6Will US enter recession (2 con...18%▲3Will S&P 500 close above 6,500...55%▲3Will oil hit $100/bbl in 2026?31%▲6Will Strait of Hormuz shipping...15%▲3Will China invade or blockade ...8%Will AAPL revenue grow >5% YoY...62%▲2Will TSLA deliver >500K vehicl...45%▼5Will a quantum computer demons...28%▲6Will AI agent companies (not L...42%▲4Will Stripe IPO in 2026?35%▲5Will there be a >$50B tech M&A...52%▲4Will Bitcoin close above $150,...38%▲3Will Ethereum ETF see >$10B cu...44%▲4Will hyperscalers cut AI capex...38%▲7Will OpenAI book <$20B annuali...54%▲6Will a major private credit fu...44%▲8Will NVDA enter a bear market ...32%▲6Will AI data-center REITs drop...36%▲7Will US nuclear restart approv...71%▲6Will NVDA beat Q2 FY2027 earni...72%▼3Will OpenAI announce a down-ro...47%▲8Will a public neocloud (CRWV, ...28%▲7Will SEC open formal investiga...34%▲12Will QQQ close above 600 by ye...58%▲4Will at least one major confli...47%▲6Will defense stocks (ITA) ente...34%▲8Will Brent crude drop below $6...41%▲8Will Ukraine reconstruction bo...52%▲8Will EEM outperform SPY by >10...44%▲7Will Red Sea container traffic...38%▲7Will GLD drop >12% peak-to-tro...32%▲5Will global airline demand hit...62%▲7Will DXY drop below 98 on peac...39%▲7Will US construction / infrast...51%▲7
Will Iran's 90% uranium enrichment trigger US military strikes by end of 2026?
0%+5 pts
Related
Will US enter recession (2 consecutive GDP declines) by Q4 2026?18%
Will oil hit $100/bbl in 2026?31%
Will Strait of Hormuz shipping be disrupted (>7 days) in 2026?15%
Bloomberg· 22hTrump Backs Off From Iran Threat, Citing Talks to End War
Reuters· 1dIran reaches 90% uranium enrichment milestone at Fordow facility
WSJ· 2dPentagon deploys B-21 Raiders to Diego Garcia amid Iran tensions
BBC· 3dTrump says he is considering 'winding down' Iran war rhetoric
CNN· 4dUS Cyber Command disrupts Iranian nuclear facility networks
Bloomberg· 22hTrump Backs Off From Iran Threat, Citing Talks to End War
Reuters· 1dIran reaches 90% uranium enrichment milestone at Fordow facility
WSJ· 2dPentagon deploys B-21 Raiders to Diego Garcia amid Iran tensions
BBC· 3dTrump says he is considering 'winding down' Iran war rhetoric
CNN· 4dUS Cyber Command disrupts Iranian nuclear facility networks
LMTRTXNOCXOMGLD
4,218 trackingCascade Trees
AI Capex Cliff — The Cascade9,847 tracking
▲ sectorsQ3 2026
Will hyperscalers cut AI capex guidance by Q3 2026?
NVDAMSFTGOOGLMETAAMZN
0%
▲7
Semis roll over
Will NVDA enter a bear market (-20%) in 2026?
NVDASOXX
32%Mega-caps crack
Will AI data-center REITs drop >25% peak-to-trough in 2026?36%
Credit strains
Will a major private credit fund mark down AI infra loans >20% in 2026?
BXAPO
44%Neocloud squeeze
Will OpenAI announce a down-round or delay its IPO past 2027?47%
The trade holds
Will NVDA beat Q2 FY2027 earnings AND guide above consensus?
NVDAAMD
72%Mag7 rerate
Will QQQ close above 600 by year-end 2026?58%
Iran Nuclear Escalation Chain5,200 tracking
◇ geopoliticalEnd of 2026
Will Iran's 90% uranium enrichment trigger US military strikes by end of 2026?
LMTRTXNOCXOMGLD
0%
▲5
Strikes happen
Will oil hit $100/bbl in 2026?
XOMCVX
31%Oil spikes
Will XOM surge >25% from Iran oil spike?62%
Defense mobilizes
Will defense stocks rally >15% on Iran strikes?
LMTRTX
85%Flight to safety
Will gold hit $3,000/oz on Iran escalation?
GLDGDX
55%Diplomacy holds
Will Strait of Hormuz shipping be disrupted (>7 days) in 2026?
STNGZIM
15%Peace Dividend — The Cascade6,420 tracking
◇ geopoliticalEnd of 2026
Will at least one major conflict enter material de-escalation in 2026?
LMTRTXNOCXOMCAT
0%
▲6
War trade unwinds
Will defense stocks (ITA) enter a bear market (-20%) in 2026?
LMTRTX
34%Oil follows
Will Brent crude drop below $60/bbl if Iran tension eases?41%
Safe-havens bleed
Will GLD drop >12% peak-to-trough in 2026?
GLDGDX
32%Dollar weakens
Will DXY drop below 98 on peace-dividend trade in 2026?39%
Reconstruction fires
Will Ukraine reconstruction bonds be issued by multilaterals in 2026?
CATURI
52%Industrial cycle
Will US construction / infrastructure stocks (CAT, URI, VMC) outperform S&P by >15%?51%
EM catch-up
Will EEM outperform SPY by >10% in 2026?
EEMEWZ
44%Fed Rate Path — Market Cascade4,800 tracking
◈ macroJuly 2026
Will the Fed cut rates before July 2026?
TLTIEFXLFSPY
0%
▲6
Cuts begin
Will QQQ outperform SPY by >5% in H2 2026?
QQQSPY
58%Tech leads
Will S&P 500 close above 6,500 by year-end 2026?55%
Rates hold
Will TLT drop >10% if Fed holds rates through 2026?
TLTIEF
42%Economy slows
Will US enter recession (2 consecutive GDP declines) by Q4 2026?18%
◈ macro
Will the Fed cut rates before July 2026?
0%▲+6
5,892July 2026
◈ macro
Will US enter recession (2 consecutive GDP declines) by Q4 2026?
0%▲+3
3,104Q4 2026
◈ macro
Will S&P 500 close above 6,500 by year-end 2026?
0%▲+3
6,712End of 2026
◇ geopolitical
Will China invade or blockade Taiwan before 2028?
0%
7,2302028
◆ earnings
Will AAPL revenue grow >5% YoY in next earnings report?
0%▲+2
4,510Q2 2026
◆ earnings
Will TSLA deliver >500K vehicles in Q2 2026?
0%▼5
6,200Q2 2026
▲ sectors
Will a quantum computer demonstrate practical advantage over classical in 2026?
0%▲+6
▲ sectors
Will AI agent companies (not LLM providers) produce a $1B+ revenue startup by 2027?
0%▲+4
3,4502027
⊕ ipo
Will Stripe IPO in 2026?
0%▲+5
4,100End of 2026
⊕ ipo
Will there be a >$50B tech M&A deal announced in 2026?
0%▲+4
2,300End of 2026
⟁ crypto
Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 in 2026?
0%▲+3
9,120End of 2026
⟁ crypto
Will Ethereum ETF see >$10B cumulative inflows in 2026?
0%▲+4
3,200End of 2026
▲ sectors
Will US nuclear restart approvals accelerate in 2026 to meet AI power demand?
0%▲+6
▲ sectors
Will a public neocloud (CRWV, Applied Digital, Core Scientific) file for bankruptcy in 2026?
0%▲+7
▲ sectors
Will SEC open formal investigation into AI circular financing arrangements?
0%▲+12
◇ geopolitical
Will Ukraine reconstruction bonds be issued by multilaterals in 2026?
0%▲+8
◇ geopolitical
Will Red Sea container traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels in 2026?
0%▲+7
◇ geopolitical
Will global airline demand hit new record highs if fuel prices normalize?
0%▲+7
Trending
Will NVDA enter a bear market (-20%) in 2026?
11,200 tracking
32%
+6
Will hyperscalers cut AI capex guidance by Q3 2026?
9,847 tracking
38%
+7
Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 in 2026?
9,120 tracking
38%
+3
Will NVDA beat Q1 FY2027 earnings AND guide above consensus?
8,341 tracking
78%
+4
Will NVDA beat Q2 FY2027 earnings AND guide above consensus?
7,830 tracking
72%
-3
Will China invade or blockade Taiwan before 2028?
7,230 tracking
8%
Will S&P 500 close above 6,500 by year-end 2026?
6,712 tracking
55%
+3
Will at least one major conflict enter material de-escalation in 2026?
6,420 tracking
47%
+6
Top Callers
1🎯@macro_oracle87%
2🛢@oil_baron84%
3📊@earnings_whisperer82%
4⚛@quantum_bet81%
5₿@btc_maxi79%